May 19, 2013

Loudoun County Must Oppose Artificial Turf Fields

The Loudoun County School Board has requested $8 million to install artificial turf on all high school football fields. This is not a good idea.

Field Turf is not a financially sound and equitable solution for Loudoun County’s shortage of athletic fields. Conventional thinking states that Field Turf does not need to be maintained regularly like natural grass so it will be cheaper over time. Conventional thinking also states that Field Turf is more resistant to weather so more games can be played on Field Turf than natural grass. Both of these assertions are false.

*Note that throughout this article, I will use “Field Turf” as a generic term for artificial turf that looks like synthetic grass. Field Turf is actually a brand of artificial turf just like how Kleenex is a brand of tissue. Astroturf is an obsolete brand of artificial turf that looks like carpet.

Field Turf is not Fiscally Conservative

Yes, Field Turf has a very high initial cost that can go over $1 million for high schools. However, many people see Field Turf as a fiscally conservative solution because the lower maintenance costs will allow the playing surface to be cheaper over time compared to natural grass. Field Turf would also be cheaper per event as more events can be hosted without cutting, re-sodding, and re-painting natural grass.

The reality is that Field Turf, if properly maintained to the highest standards, will not be cheaper than natural grass. Sure you don’t have to mow Field Turf, but you have to take care of it in other ways. Field Turf is not natural grass so natural, biodegradable substances do not get absorbed into the ground. Blood, sweat, tears, snot, vomit, and poop (hopefully just dog poop, not human poop) just stays on Field Turf without getting absorbed like natural grass. I have seen fields that are not properly cleaned up after these everyday incidents. Anti-microbial protection wears out over time and cannot defend against these natural occurrences from sports.

That is just gross. Artificial turf must be cleaned and disinfected regularly just like how natural grass needs to be cut, re-sodded, and re-painted regularly. Otherwise, artificial turf becomes a breeding ground for a variety of diseases. Turf burns that result from skin abrasions with artificial turf can lead to diseases. This has been documented. Artificial turf ends up being just as expensive if not more expensive than natural grass.

Artificial turf can be cheaper than natural grass if administrators skimp on maintenance. This causes even more problems. Under the illusion that Field Turf can withstand more events, they don’t properly maintain the playing surface like they should. Sometimes, they just don’t want to pay for the maintenance. I have seen Field Turf playing surfaces that are littered with sunflower seeds and not cleaned up for games. Without regular cleanup, disinfecting, and quality control, Field Turf will be more expensive than natural grass, guaranteed because the lifespan of the playing surface will diminish. Replacement is very expensive.

Yes, you have to “water” Field Turf just like natural grass for safety and health reasons. There is no financial benefit to Field Turf and for those of that ideological persuasion, Field Turf is not “fiscally conservative” because it does not pay for itself and then some after a huge initial investment. Saving money by hosting more events and not maintaining upkeep of Field Turf will prove to be much more expensive over the long haul as the playing surface must be replaced sooner.

Field Turf is not Equitable

Is Field Turf fair and just for all stakeholders? Field Turf is not a just solution for taxpayers. It is also not a just solution for players and the game.

For the players, Field Turf sponsored research, which should already flagged for bias, claims that Field Turf cuts down on many injuries like concussions. This is highly debatable, but even if such research was true, Field Turf presents other issues that cancels out the benefit. Knee injuries and turf toe can be debilitating injuries that have a higher occurrence on artificial turf than on natural grass.

Heat strokes are another issue that Field Turf presents. Step onto any Field Turf playing surface in the summer time. It feels much hotter than natural grass. It also smells like burning rubber. It smells like burning rubber because it is burning rubber.

The synthetic grass fibers have rubber infill made out of recycled tires. This infill is designed to give the playing surface a cushion. This rubber infill has also been questioned for having lead content along with the paint.

Heat is already a safety issue for summer sporting events. Field Turf exacerbates the situation by raising on-field temperatures above over the air temperatures. Temperatures on artificial turf can be up to 86.5 degrees Fahrenheit hotter than natural grass.

Artificial turf is also bad for the environment. It disrupts the migratory pattern of birds and destroys all the organisms that live on or beneath the natural surface that is replaced. Once artificial turf has been installed, it is difficult to go back to natural grass because the soil has been ripped out and replaced with a fake.

Finally, Field Turf subtracts from the charm and mystique of the games played upon them. Chiefly, football is most affected negatively. Real football is meant to be played in all conditions. Torrential downpours, blistering blizzards, muddy fields, and ice all add character to a game that demands excellence in the face of all adversity.

When I played football in 8th grade, one of my fondest memories of the experience was practicing in the rain and mud. These were the conditions that would require switching to the longest cleats (1 in.) which I would have done if I wore detachable cleats instead of the standard entry-level molded Nike Land Sharks that every growing kid wears just to play the game. At first, you avoided the mud puddles as you walked out to the practice field, but one you made a tackle or got tackled, you threw caution to wind and rain and just let it loose. Mud would cover your entire uniform and kids would dare each other to dive into mud puddles for absolutely no reason other than for laughs. People say we should “let kids be kids.” This is what I think about when people say, “let kids be kids.” Natural grass is organic unlike artificial turf so proper hygiene and parenting skills will prevent the onset of staph infections and other illnesses from playing football in the mud and the social and character benefits are great.

Let kids be kids. Play football on natural grass.

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Congratulations to new Loudoun County Vice Chair Shawn Williams

Congratulations to newly elected Loudoun County Vice Chair Shawn Williams. During the 2011 campaign, I and several other keen observers felt that Williams was the most “green” (as in inexperienced and in way over his head) politician out of the Loudoun County Republican slate of candidates. His victory in a tight three-way race in the Broad Run District was a pleasant surprise.

What has been a real surprise and should have been expected all along was that Shawn Williams has proven himself to be a very adept, thoughtful, masterful, and highly intelligent legislator and leader. As a lawyer by trade, he has a very sharp legal mind and can analyze and break down complex issues in a very clear, articulate, and balanced manner. Along with Matt Letourneau, Shawn Williams is one of Loudoun County’s best and most promising legislators.

Williams has also been one of the foremost proponents for business and possesses keen foresight on the changing structure of the economy. This allows Williams to be ahead of the game when it comes to crafting policies that will lead Loudoun into the 21st century knowledge-based economy. His leadership, people skills, reason, and calm temperament were all critical when the right-wing fringe in Loudoun stoked a needlessly and overly bitter, contentious, divisive, and heated fight over the issue of bringing Metro to Loudoun. When it would have been easy as a Republican to vote to kill Metro to appease an unhinged, irate Loudoun GOP base that scoffs at public transportation and looks down on the people who prefer that mode of transportation***, Williams disregarded politics, discovered the real facts, and took a courageous stand for the economy by being a steadfast supporter of Metro and led the fight for its passage.

***”Most [Patrick Henry College Chancellor Mike] Farris-approved ventures summon distrust among his neighbors in western Loudoun. But at least regarding Metro, Farris is in their camp—albeit for slightly different reasons. “When I ran for Lieutenant Governor [in 1993], where did I lose? Densely populated. Where did I win? Rural,” Farris says. “I don’t want a lot of growth. I don’t like the lifestyle it brings, the politics it brings.”” – Planes, Trains, and Conspiracy Theories, Washington City Paper, 6/29/12 http://www.washingtoncitypaper.com/articles/42920/planes-trains-and-conspiracy-theories/

Look for Williams to serve out the remainder of the 2011-2015 Loudoun County Board of Supervisors as Vice-Chair. Though County Boards have the option of rotating Vice Chairs every year, it is not customary to do so. This yearly rotation is usually only practiced in some Town Councils. Rotation typically happens after a County Board election which happens every four years so Vice Chairs typically serve for four years like in Fairfax and Prince William County before rotation occurs. Arlington County is the only County in Northern Virginia that traditionally rotates the Chair and Vice-Chair slots every year.

Mayor Bob Lazaro = Mayor Michael Bloomberg

“Look at folk like Sean Taylor. You know what they said? They said if he had a strap, he would have lived today.” – T.I.

Gun save lives. The only way to defend yourself against a criminal with a gun is to be armed. Criminals do not abide by the law by definition and will find a way to get a gun.

Let’s face it. Karate lessons will not save the life of a petite 100 pound woman when a rapist is 250 pounds and has a gun. The cops won’t come in time. The woman needs the gun to protect herself and save her own life.

If you are familiar with “Republican” Mayor Bob Lazaro of Purcellville, a little podunk town with an identity crisis in western Loudoun County, you will find that him signing on with New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg’s Mayors Against Illegal Guns is no surprise.

Mayor Lazaro and his “Republican” acolytes have never met a spending program they didn’t like because it is all for the benefit of their “wonderful community,” “the people,” and their Loudoun heritage – “a wonderful place to live” …supposedly. None of these feel good projects (pork) are of any substance.

Except when the spending program is an essential government function, affordable, and of significant positive economic impact, do Lazaro’s acolytes (namely Supervisor Janet Clarke) oppose it like Metro to Ashburn. Talk about getting priorities wrong.

“But no, Metro will urbanize Loudoun County and we want to preserve our rural heritage!” Um, excuse me, have you seen Purcellville lately? Metro will terminate in eastern Loudoun far away from Purcellville, but it has not been constructed yet. Meanwhile, walk down Main Street in Purcellville and it is filled with unsightly strip malls, traffic, and fattening fast food joints. It is not charming in any way. The people, still nostalgic about western Loudoun’s “rural character,” would revolt if Wal-Mart opened up shop in Purcellville, but they sure don’t have a problem with that Bloom, Giant, and Harris Teeter in that barn-looking structure.

Purcellville is already urbanized and the people polled there have the gall to oppose Ashburn’s much needed Metro stops because they fear creeping urbanization coming from the east that will destroy their “rural heritage” in the west.

So let me get this straight.

- Purcellville residents oppose Metro to Ashburn far away in the east because it is “too expensive,” will “urbanize” Loudoun, and will “threaten Western Loudoun’s rural heritage and scenery.”
- Yet, Purcellville is already urbanized despite the people’s obsession with the “rural heritage and scenery.”
- As Purcellville’s Mayor and his acolytes oppose paying for Metro, a core transportation solution that will benefit the entire county, they have no problem spending taxpayer money on feel good programs that don’t really do anything because they are “charitable” and help out the community. They win office because Purcellville residents support this.
- Purcellville Mayor Bob Lazaro comes out for gun control in a region that is pro-gun and prides itself on its “rural heritage.” Straight moxie.
- Despite everything in the past, Mayor Lazaro has been reelected without significant opposition and will probably continue that streak after this Bloomberg incident.

Two takeaways:

1. Purcellville, the unofficial seat of western Loudoun County that almost seceded to be Catoctin County in the last decade, has an identity crisis and their internal issues are hurting the progress of Loudoun County as a whole.

2. Jeannemarie Davis needs to call up Bob Lazaro and ask him how he continues to maintain high favorable ratings with his constituents after allying with Mike Bloomberg.

Politics is Hollywood for the Ugly (Part 1 of Infinity)

Great post by Loudoun Insider: http://www.tooconservative.com/?p=14272

The Loudoun County Board of Supervisors wrapped up a public meeting as fast as they can and got police escort through the entrance to the front of the stage on camera view for a Mitt Romney rally at Ida Lee Park.  I know I’m not the best person to speak against the actions of the Loudoun County Board of Supervisors in this instance because I refuse to vote for Mitt Romney, but I would say the same for an all-Democratic Board with a Democratic candidate for President.  I am pretty sure this would be a no-go if it was a split board.

When does the politics stop and the work for the people begin?  The politics never end and the politicians never want it to end.

Politics is Hollywood for the ugly.  The odds of making it in sports and entertainment are very, very small even if you have talent.  The easiest way to get face time on TV is to do politics.  The attention is already showered on local elected officials and it only gets better as you move on up to the fancy digs of Capitol Hill.  I know an intelligent, good-looking Capitol Hill staffer who told me, “Capitol Hill is the perfect backdrop for my rap video.”

At least that guy was honest about his motivations.  For some people, it was never about the people and if they recognize that, I am okay with that.  Unfortunately, most politicians cloak their starvation for attention under the pretenses of “working for the people.”

I know that at the local level, there are some people who do not come from an activist background who truly, with child-like wonder and enthusiasm, believe that they can improve the lives of the people in their community through politics.  Once these people get elected, they either fall victim to the system and don’t even know it, buy into the extremist rhetoric of the political party that elected them when they previously were thoughtful and middle of the road,  and/or they can’t figure out how to play the game (because politics really is just a game) to get things done.  Still, no one turns down face time on TV.  How convenient.

These Presidential rallies are obscene, gaudy spectacles.  Local elected officials scramble for VIP seats behind the candidate in camera view and joust for speaking slots.  Talk about hypemen.  Everyone tries to be the person who introduces the person who introduces the person who introduces the person who introduces the person who introduces the person who will introduce the candidate.

This is like Mannie Fresh introducing Big Tigger who introduces P.Diddy who introduces Rick Ross who introduces Wale who introduces Jay-Z.  These politicians are not ballers and rappers, but they act like they want to be and young people know that saying the right things that rile up the activist base is the surest way to stardom and a speaking slot in front of 20,000 people at a convention and a national TV audience.

Politics is Hollywood for the ugly and there is no uglier person in Loudoun politics than Eugene Delgaudio.

More on Senator Dick Black’s “Old Fashion Barbeque”

Real Loudoun has noticed the exact same thing I noticed about Senator Dick Black’s “Old Fashion Barbeque” in which every single Loudoun County Supervisor is bowing down at the altar of social conservative icon Dick Black with the exception of the highly sensible Chairman Scott York and Supervisor Ken Reid. Here is what I wrote.

Real Loudoun has this to say.

Does Delegate David Ramadan know about Facebook pages?

Somebody sent this to me in an e-mail this morning.

(Copied from Facebook events.)

Ask your Friends to Befriend Del. David Ramadan on Facebook Day
Friends Event · By David I. Ramadan

Friday, August 31, 2012

23465 Rock Haven Way #105A, Dulles, VA 20166

Please ask your friends and neighbors who live or work in Loudoun and/or Prince William Counties to befriend me on Facebook to receive important updates: https://www.facebook.com/DavidIRamadan

THANK YOU

First, why did I not get an invite? I’m hurt.

Second, Ramadan is asking people to ask their friends to friend him on his Facebook profile. Why would total strangers friend an elected official on Facebook (other than for opposition research)? Don’t Facebook pages exist so that people can merely “like” to receive your news without being your “friend”?

Finally, I’m no social media maven, but I understand there is a more useful, more efficient way to get the word out about your Facebook presence? I mean, why promote yourself twice when you can promote yourself once? Oh, wait. Yeah. Politicians do what they does.

Senator Dick Black supporters deafeningly silent on Todd Akin. GOP elected officials stand with Dick Black.

Here is a reminder about why State Senator Dick Black is like Virginia’s very own Todd Akin. Much of the people who support Black, support him not merely because he happens to be a nice guy. They support him because he is a throwback to a more “innocent, patriotic 1950s America”…which was also an America that was highly patriarchal, limited the rights of married women, and did not outlaw marital rape. Here is Senator Black, then Delegate Black, wondering aloud on the House floor how a husband could be a rapist of his wife if they are sharing the same bed and she is in a “nightie”.

Rape can happen within the confines of marriage. Patriarchal, “Leave it to Beaver” male head of the household Dick Black does not understand this. Rape is rape. Rape is wrong.

I have not seen any significant rebuke of Todd Akin’s reckless, careless comments by Ken Cuccinelli, Dick Black, and Bob Marshall supporters on Facebook or the blogs.

*****However, the following Republican elected officials have given their implicit and explicit endorsement of Dick Black’s overall 1950s worldview. This is from an e-mail someone forwarded to me. Dick Black is holding an appropriately themed, “Old Fashion Cook Out”. Bold is for emphasis.

Only 17 Days ‘Til the BBQ

Senator Black is pleased to have some special guests!

Join Us For an Old Fashion Cook Out.
Come out and meet some of Virginia’s candidates and representatives,
including (but not limited to!):

Senator Mark Obenshain, candidate for Attorney General
Delegate Bob Marshall
Delegate Scott Lingamfelter, candidate for Lieutenant Governor
Delegate Tim Hugo
Delegate Jackson Miller
Delegate Tag Greason
Delegate David Ramadan
Delegate Randy Minchew
Supervisor Janet Clarke
Supervisor Suzanne Volpe
Supervisor Ralph Buona
Supervisor Shawn Williams
Supervisor Geary Higgins
Supervisor Matt Letourneau
Supervisor Eugene Delgaudio
Mayor of Haymarket David Leake
School Board Member Bill Fox
Clerk of Court Gary Clemens
Fairfax Clerk of Court John Frey
Commissioner of the Revenue Bob Wertz
Treasurer Roger Zurn

What: Senator Black’s Outdoor B.B.Q.

When: Saturday, September 8th, from 4:00 pm to 8:00 pm.

Where: Home of the Honorable Mick and Mrs. Michelle Staton
43471 Thistlewood Court, Ashburn, VA 20147

Who: Everyone! A fun time for the whole family.

RSVP to: Chris@senatorblack.com, or 703-468-1342

Contributions: Mail contributions to PO Box 3026, Leesburg VA 20177,
Make checks payable to “Black for Senate.”
Donations can also be given at the door.

I can understand if you are an elected official and in the course of your official duties or community service, you must encounter and interact with Dick Black. I can understand if you are a business owner and Dick Black wants to purchase your catering services for the event. Man has got to eat. However, this is a political event in honor of Dick Black and these elected officials, who could conveniently use a “prior commitment” as an excuse, *****chose***** to be with Dick Black.

Look, if the above GOP elected officials support Dick Black for his fiscal conservatism, there is a smorgasbord of highly qualified fiscal conservatives who can be more effective voices in Richmond because they don’t carry Black’s naive, ridiculous 1950s worldview about how our culture is supposed to be. Shoot, if the above GOP elected officials are all social conservatives, there are much more articulate, knowledgable, and respectable advocates of social conservatism than Dick Black. That all of the above are showing up at Black’s fundraiser indicate that they are more than just “team players”. They are explicit endorsers of Black’s overall 1950s backwards thinking and are enablers of an undermining, self-defeating element of their own party.

Primary them. All of them.

P.S. – Credit must be given where credit is due. The bulk of Dick Black’s district is in Loudoun County and many Loudoun officials are attending his fundraiser even if they do not have a part of his district in their own district. The following Loudoun GOP elected officials apparently do not want anything to do with Dick Black – Senator Jill Vogel, Delegate Barbara Comstock, Delegate Jim LeMunyon, Delegate Joe May, Delegate Tom Rust, Chairman Scott York, Supervisor Ken Reid, School Board Member Debbie Rose. I am doing this from the top of my head so I apologize if I missed giving someone credit, but this is a GOP I am proud of and can fully support.

P.P.S. – What is up with Tim Hugo? Back when his district was wholly in Fairfax County with just Centreville and Clifton, he presented himself as a reasonable, pragmatic legislator just like his Fairfax County GOP colleagues Delegate Dave Albo, Delegate Barbara Comstock, Delegate Jim LeMunyon, Delegate Tom Rust, Supervisor John Cook, and Supervisor Pat Herrity. Now that Hugo has heavily Republican Western Prince William County in his district after redistricting, he seems more comfortable cutting loose and kowtowing to the Axis of Crazy of Ken Cuccinelli, Dick Black, and Bob Marshall. Strange.

Republicans oppose using public schools for Presidential rallies, unless the candidate is a Republican.

Recently, Barack Obama held a campaign rally at Loudoun County High School. I spoke to my Loudoun Republican friends and they were all incensed about this. I’m not talking about the counter protest that they organized which they are free to do. I am talking about Loudoun Republicans surmising ways in the legal process to prohibit President Obama from using Loudoun County High School as the location for his campaign rally.

The truth is that under the 1st Amendment and its Supreme Court rulings, public schools and other public facilities are allowed to host political events provided that the facility is equally accessible to all viewpoints and that everyone adhere to the same time, place, and manner restrictions that the public facility can reasonably impose. Simply stated, if Democrats are allowed to hold their political event for free, Republicans must be able to hold their event for free as well. If rent is charged, rent must be equal for all parties. If the school district officially closes all business activity after midnight and a political party wants to use a school at 2:00am, this is a reasonable time, place, and manner restriction if it is applied equally to all parties.

Unless a public official is performing official government business at an Loudoun County public school, rent is charged. The Obama campaign paid the rent. They had the privilege of using Loudoun County High School for the political rally. That is the end of the story.

Yet, I am dismayed that my fellow Republicans are pre-programmed to hate everything that Obama does without thinking deeply about the issue at hand and its unintended consequences. My Loudoun Republican friends told me all kinds of crazy rants and ideas on how to stop Obama’s political activities on public school grounds.

Many were concerned that public school teachers and administrators would be able to sit on stage and speak. These Republicans perceive that public school teachers are overwhelmingly Democratic and wondered if there was a way to muzzle them under the Hatch Act (hint: the Hatch Act does not apply to public school teachers, administrators, and staff). Do these same Republicans know that Virginia House of Delegates Majority Leader Kirk Cox is a Republican who continues to work as a full-time public school teacher? Are these Republicans willing muzzle one of our own in an effort to broadly silence the opposition? Apparently so. They just hate Democrats that much.

The argument that it was possibly unconstitutional for Obama to campaign on public school grounds was brought up quite a bit by my Loudoun Republican friends.

*****Meanwhile*****

Republican Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan will hold a campaign rally at West Springfield High School this Friday. I have not heard a single word from Republicans questioning if it is proper for a political candidate to hold a political rally at a public school in this instance. I have not heard a single concern from Republicans about public school teachers sitting on stage and making endorsements for Romney-Ryan (yes, Republican public school teachers do exist). I have not heard a single concern from Republicans about the cost to taxpayers for traffic management and clean up of the facilities after the event.

So here is the summary of the attitudes of the Republican activist base.

Obama speaks at a public high school. Bad. Unconstitutional. Traffic nightmare. Waste of taxpayer dollars to cover externalities not paid for by rent by the Obama campaign.

Paul Ryan speaks at a public high school. Let’s camp outside early in the morning so we can sit up close! Hey, do you have connections to elected officials so we can sit in the VIP section on stage? OMG! OMG! OMG! Paul Ryan is such a heartthrob!

Double standards and hypocrisy. Democrats and Republicans are both guilty.

I will vote Republican, but my advice to Republicans is to tone down the volume, get rid of the blind hatred of Democrats, and reach out to others. Often, it is not Republican principles that people don’t like. It is Republican activists who scare away the people by their behavior.

Loudoun County Town Election Analysis

I will analyze two recent Town elections in Loudoun County to determine if there are trends that we can draw from the results. These elections are the special election for Leesburg Town Council and the election for Lovettsville Mayor.

A special election was held to fill a vacancy on the Leesburg Town Council after then-Councilman Ken Reid defeated then-Supervisor Kelly Burk of the Leesburg District in 2011. Kelly Burk ran for the vacant Town Council seat and defeated Dwight Dopilka who had the backing of the Loudoun County Republican Committee (LCRC). Reid and Burk essentially switched seats.

During the Town and City elections that occurred across the Commonwealth of Virginia on May 1st, there was an election held to elect a new Mayor of Lovettsville. Mayor Elaine Walker was retiring and Vice Mayor Robert Zoldos ran against Councilman Tim Sparbanie, who had the backing of the LCRC, for Mayor. Though Zoldos did not have the LCRC putting boots on the ground for his campaign, he was, by several accounts, a Republican who ran as a non-partisan independent*. This election generated a higher than usual turnout and ended with a victory for Zoldos and his entire slate of Town Council candidates who ran together as a ticket.

* Town and City elections in the Commonwealth of Virginia are non-partisan races, but political parties are allowed to endorse and support candidates just like any other interest group.

The reason why I chose these two particular races in Loudoun County to analyze is because they had two common denominators. First, they were two of the most prominent races with two official candidates on the ballot. The second denominator is that the LCRC was involved in both of these races.

The LCRC is 0-2 this year in targeted races. Other LCRC-backed candidates did not have opposition on the ballot like Mayor Betsy Davis of Middleburg. Is the influence of the LCRC diminishing in 2012 after Republicans swept all but two seats in the county in 2011?

No, it is not.

First, the LCRC has been more focused this year on influencing legislation. The Loudoun County Republican Committee is one of the most vocal anti-Metrorail groups in Loudoun County and dissent is not welcome within its ranks. Opposing voices are ridiculed and not given a fair hearing from the supposed “party of ideas.” I know for a fact that there are very conservative Republicans within the LCRC who strongly support Phase 2 of the Dulles Rail Project, but they are too intimidated by the rabid opponents of rail to speak up and are reluctant to expend their goodwill and political capital to provide a conservative voice in support of rail. Several people in the LCRC have stated publicly that they will field primary challengers against every single Supervisor who votes for rail. As it stands, the Loudoun County Republican Committee is on the cusp of succeeding in the effort to kill Metrorail against the will of the people by putting an inordinate amount of pressure on the all-Republican Loudoun County Board of Supervisors to vote for their wishes and not that of the people.

Second, in the Leesburg Town Council race, Kelly Burk had the benefit of having strong name identification in a Democratic leaning town. She also received the assistance of the Loudoun County Democratic Committee to counter the support the LCRC gave to Dwight Dopilka. Burk was favored to win and she won.

Finally, the one race that could change my answer above from a “no” to a “hard to tell” is the Lovettsville Mayor race. Two Republicans ran against each other.

Bob Zoldos ran as a non-partisan independent with a slate of other candidates for Town Council on the Friends of Lovettsville ticket. The Friends of Lovettsville ticket was a creative, organic, and spirited campaign that expressed itself with a lot of homemade yard signs. Homemade yard signs are not a new idea, but their existence and prevalence do indicate a high level of excitement and personal investment in the campaign by its supporters.

Tim Sparbanie campaigned early within the LCRC for their support since last fall. Many people in the LCRC contributed their time and efforts on Sparbanie’s race, thus greatly increasing turnout for this election. Some thought the outcome was a slam dunk for Sparbanie due to the numbers they had of expected voters. While this race garnered a lot of interest, brought a lot of outside help from the LCRC to Lovettsville, and drove more people to the polls, Sparbanie lost 52%-48%.

Local elections, especially at the Town and City level, can be wildly unpredictable. The smaller the jurisdiction, the crazier it gets. Mayors and Council Members are more immune to the shifting national winds, but are more prone to winning and losing based on silly things like long standing generational family feuds and semi-political beefs. Everybody knows the town drunk, harlot, workaholic, whiz kid, gifted athlete, creep, bum, church lady, cat lady, debutante, beauty queen, and proverbial crazy uncle in these small towns. Nobody can stand each other, yet everybody continues to live together for years going into generations.

Fatigue from the partisanship of the LCRC in a small town, non-partisan race that pitted two Republicans against each other might be a factor tipping the election in Zoldos’ favor. Additionally, unique local issues surrounding economic development, public safety, education, environmental quality, and parks & recreation are also more important that ideological purity in these elections.

I would caution everybody to not read too much into these results. Talks of a Democratic comeback or a Republican decline is premature. Local elections are not always the best predictor for greater regional or national performance.

Loudoun County Town Election Results (5/1/12)

In the only contested race for mayor on May 1st in Loudoun County, Vice-Mayor Robert Zoldos defeated Loudoun County Republican Committee-backed Councilman Tim Sparbanie to replace the retiring Elaine Walker as Mayor of Lovettsville.

Mayor Betsy Davis of Middleburg, Mayor Bob Lazaro of Purcellville*, and Mayor Scott Ramsey of Round Hill all ran for reelection unopposed and won.

* Mayor Lazaro defeated a write-in candidate.

Full, unofficial results at the time of this writing are available here.